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Franchise opportunities in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), NSW

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)’s 14,631 residents give it a franchise opportunity score of 68/100. The strongest fit is Bakery & Dessert (68/100), followed by Quick-Service Food and Retail.

Geography: this report covers the Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.

14,631Population (ABS 2021)
+2.1%5-year growth
$118,400Median household income
263Franchises recruiting nearby
Opportunity score68/100
How this opportunity score works

The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:

  • Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
  • Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
  • Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
  • 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
  • Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%

Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.

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For sale & open territories in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)

263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Mona Vale - Warriewood (North):

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Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) on the map

Where Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.

Loading nearby operators in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)…

Top 3 recommended franchise categories

1. Bakery & Dessert

68
Strong $200,000$550,000 · 16 recruiting
Why Bakery & Dessert in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)?

2. Quick-Service Food

65
Strong $350,000$900,000 · 35 recruiting
Why Quick-Service Food in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)?

3. Retail

65
Strong $180,000$600,000 · 17 recruiting
Why Retail in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)?

What it costs to start in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)

Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).

CategoryTotal investmentInitial feeRoyaltyMona Vale - Warriewood (North) fit
Bakery & Dessert$200K$550K$45,0006.5%68
Quick-Service Food$350K$900K$50,0007.0%65
Retail$180K$600K$45,0005.5%65
Beauty & Health$150K$480K$42,0006.0%63
Mortgage & Finance$45K$140K$30,0008.0%63
Coffee & Café$118K$450K$45,0006.5%62

Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsMona Vale - Warriewood (North)’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) snapshot

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) vs New South Wales average
MetricMona Vale - Warriewood (North)State avgDifference
Population14,63120,009-27%
Median household income$118,400$100,267+18%
5-year population growth2.1%13.0%-10.9 pts

Community & demographics

Who lives in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) community profile (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureMona Vale - Warriewood (North)What it signals for franchising
Median age45 yearsBroad working-age and family customer base
Average household size2.6 peopleSmaller households, favours convenience and single-serve formats
Median household income$2,277/wkOverall spending power of the local market
Median family income$2,806/wkDiscretionary spend of family households
Median personal income$1,008/wkIndividual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal
Median rent$660/wkCost of living and a proxy for commercial rents
Median mortgage$3,033/moHomeowner cost base in the area
People per bedroom0.9More space per resident, established housing

Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) (122021690). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).

Housing, tenure & households

How Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) housing & workforce (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureMona Vale - Warriewood (North)What it signals for franchising
Renting20%Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend
Owned with a mortgage32.8%Working homeowners, family services and home categories
Owned outright41.8%Older, established, lower-debt households
Separate houses53.3%Mixed density, more walk-in potential
Flats & apartments24%Low density, destination retail and services
Family households74.3%Family-led demand, education, food and household services
Lone-person households23.8%Fewer single-person homes
Unemployment rate3.3%Tight labour market, strong incomes but harder hiring

Source: ABS Census 2021, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).

Survival & viability analysis

Bakery & Dessert viability: High

The bakery & dessert opportunity in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) scores 68 out of 100. With a population of 14,631, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited bakery & dessert outlet. At about 1 existing bakery & dessert operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($118,400) runs above the state average ($100,267), supporting discretionary spend.

Nearby competition by category

Trade-area model, estimated operators and market status
CategoryEst. operatorsCompetitionStatus
Bakery & Dessert1LowGap
Retail1LowGap
Beauty & Health1LowGap
Mortgage & Finance1LowGap
Lawn & Garden1LowGap
Massage & Wellness1LowGap

Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.

How Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) compares to nearby areas

LocationPopulationMedian income5-yr growthTop categoryScore
Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)14,631$118,4002.1%Bakery & Dessert68
Warners Bay - Boolaroo14,643$85,7007.4%Bakery & Dessert63
Mosman - South14,644$154,200-5.8%Bakery & Dessert65
Roselands14,590$88,6000.7%Bakery & Dessert58
Forster14,684$52,8000.8%Bakery & Dessert50
Raymond Terrace14,689$66,1004.0%Bakery & Dessert55
Greenacre - North14,700$74,3002.0%Bakery & Dessert56

Keep exploring Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) & New South Wales

Frequently asked questions

What franchise is best for Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)?

Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Bakery & Dessert scores highest for Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) at 68/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Quick-Service Food and Retail.

How much does a franchise cost in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)?

Fees don't vary by suburb, Bakery & Dessert franchises run $200,000–$550,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=54). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.

Is Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) good for a coffee franchise?

It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 62/100 in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).

Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.