Franchise opportunities in Padstow, NSW
Geography: this report covers the Padstow area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Padstow
263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Padstow:
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
7-Eleven Australia
Amber Tiles
Cafe2U
Coolabah Tree Cafe
Padstow on the map
Where Padstow sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Padstow…
Top 3 recommended franchise categories
What it costs to start in Padstow
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Padstow best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Padstow fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quick-Service Food | $350K–$900K | $50,000 | 7.0% | 67 |
| Retail | $180K–$600K | $45,000 | 5.5% | 66 |
| Coffee & Café | $118K–$450K | $45,000 | 6.5% | 65 |
| Beauty & Health | $150K–$480K | $42,000 | 6.0% | 64 |
| Home & Trade Services | $45K–$180K | $35,000 | 8.0% | 64 |
| Mortgage & Finance | $45K–$140K | $30,000 | 8.0% | 64 |
Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsPadstow’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Padstow snapshot
| Metric | Padstow | State avg | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 17,220 | 20,009 | -14% |
| Median household income | $98,700 | $100,267 | -2% |
| 5-year population growth | 0.7% | 13.0% | -12.3 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Padstow, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Padstow | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 41 years | Broad working-age and family customer base |
| Average household size | 2.8 people | Family-heavy, favours food, education and household services |
| Median household income | $1,899/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $2,265/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $764/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $470/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $2,427/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 0.8 | More space per resident, established housing |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Padstow (119011358). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Padstow lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Padstow | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 28.7% | Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend |
| Owned with a mortgage | 33.7% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 33.7% | Older, established, lower-debt households |
| Separate houses | 69% | Mixed density, more walk-in potential |
| Flats & apartments | 7.3% | Low density, destination retail and services |
| Family households | 75.6% | Family-led demand, education, food and household services |
| Lone-person households | 22% | Fewer single-person homes |
| Unemployment rate | 4.7% | Around the national average |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Padstow, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Quick-Service Food viability: High
The quick-service food opportunity in Padstow scores 67 out of 100. With a population of 17,220, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited quick-service food outlet. At about 2 existing quick-service food operators, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($98,700) sits below the state average ($100,267), which can favour value-led formats.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Mortgage & Finance | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Massage & Wellness | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Pool & Spa Services | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Padstow compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padstow | 17,220 | $98,700 | 0.7% | Quick-Service Food | 67 |
| Port Macquarie - South | 17,225 | $72,000 | 1.4% | Quick-Service Food | 61 |
| Lakemba | 17,232 | $63,800 | -3.6% | Quick-Service Food | 54 |
| Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls | 17,204 | $163,400 | 0.4% | Quick-Service Food | 75 |
| Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg | 17,200 | $81,700 | 3.9% | Quick-Service Food | 66 |
| Blacktown - West | 17,245 | $96,600 | 3.6% | Quick-Service Food | 70 |
| West Hoxton - Middleton Grange | 17,250 | $125,400 | 9.1% | Quick-Service Food | 80 |
Keep exploring Padstow & New South Wales
By category in Padstow
Nearby New South Wales areas
Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Padstow?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Quick-Service Food scores highest for Padstow at 67/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Retail and Coffee & Café.
How much does a franchise cost in Padstow?
Fees don't vary by suburb, Quick-Service Food franchises run $350,000–$900,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=96). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.
Is Padstow good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 65/100 in Padstow, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.
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