Franchise opportunities in Narre Warren - South West, VIC
Geography: this report covers the Narre Warren - South West area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Narre Warren - South West
258 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Narre Warren - South West:
Bakers Delight
Banjo's Bakehouse
7-Eleven Australia
Andersens
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
Narre Warren - South West on the map
Where Narre Warren - South West sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Narre Warren - South West…
Top 3 recommended franchise categories
1. Bakery & Dessert
593. Quick-Service Food
56What it costs to start in Narre Warren - South West
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Narre Warren - South West best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Narre Warren - South West fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakery & Dessert | $200K–$550K | $45,000 | 6.5% | 59 |
| Retail | $180K–$600K | $45,000 | 5.5% | 57 |
| Quick-Service Food | $350K–$900K | $50,000 | 7.0% | 56 |
| Beauty & Health | $150K–$480K | $42,000 | 6.0% | 55 |
| B2B Services | $60K–$220K | $40,000 | 7.5% | 54 |
| Lawn & Garden | $40K–$130K | $28,000 | 8.0% | 54 |
Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsNarre Warren - South West’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Narre Warren - South West snapshot
| Metric | Narre Warren - South West | State avg | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 14,900 | 18,304 | -19% |
| Median household income | $84,000 | $94,695 | -11% |
| 5-year population growth | 2.4% | 30.4% | -28.0 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Narre Warren - South West, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Narre Warren - South West | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 35 years | Younger market, skews to fitness, quick-service food and services |
| Average household size | 2.8 people | Family-heavy, favours food, education and household services |
| Median household income | $1,615/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $1,809/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $715/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $360/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $1,738/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 0.8 | More space per resident, established housing |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Narre Warren - South West (212021456). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Narre Warren - South West lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Narre Warren - South West | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 33.9% | Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend |
| Owned with a mortgage | 40.2% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 23.6% | Fewer outright owners, younger area |
| Separate houses | 87.1% | Suburban, car-based, drive-to trade area |
| Flats & apartments | 4.2% | Low density, destination retail and services |
| Family households | 75.7% | Family-led demand, education, food and household services |
| Lone-person households | 21.5% | Fewer single-person homes |
| Unemployment rate | 7% | Higher unemployment, price-sensitive spend, easier hiring |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Narre Warren - South West, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Bakery & Dessert viability: High
The bakery & dessert opportunity in Narre Warren - South West scores 59 out of 100. With a population of 14,900, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited bakery & dessert outlet. At about 1 existing bakery & dessert operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($84,000) sits below the state average ($94,695), which can favour value-led formats.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bakery & Dessert | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| B2B Services | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Massage & Wellness | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Narre Warren - South West compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narre Warren - South West | 14,900 | $84,000 | 2.4% | Bakery & Dessert | 59 |
| Roxburgh Park - North | 14,848 | $84,200 | 15.7% | Bakery & Dessert | 66 |
| Glenroy - East | 14,980 | $79,400 | 1.5% | Bakery & Dessert | 57 |
| Reservoir - North East | 14,987 | $80,300 | -1.3% | Bakery & Dessert | 55 |
| Belmont | 15,000 | $78,500 | 4.8% | Bakery & Dessert | 60 |
| Elwood | 15,032 | $108,800 | -8.2% | Bakery & Dessert | 60 |
| Clyde North - South | 15,038 | $114,000 | 4088.9% | Bakery & Dessert | 76 |
Keep exploring Narre Warren - South West & Victoria
By category in Narre Warren - South West
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Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Narre Warren - South West?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Bakery & Dessert scores highest for Narre Warren - South West at 59/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Retail and Quick-Service Food.
How much does a franchise cost in Narre Warren - South West?
Fees don't vary by suburb, Bakery & Dessert franchises run $200,000–$550,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=54). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.
Is Narre Warren - South West good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 53/100 in Narre Warren - South West, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.
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