Franchise opportunities in Pakenham - North East, VIC
Geography: this report covers the Pakenham - North East area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Pakenham - North East
258 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Pakenham - North East:
Bakers Delight
Banjo's Bakehouse
7-Eleven Australia
Andersens
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
Pakenham - North East on the map
Where Pakenham - North East sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Pakenham - North East…
Top 3 recommended franchise categories
1. Bakery & Dessert
653. Quick-Service Food
64What it costs to start in Pakenham - North East
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Pakenham - North East best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Pakenham - North East fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakery & Dessert | $200K–$550K | $45,000 | 6.5% | 65 |
| Retail | $180K–$600K | $45,000 | 5.5% | 65 |
| Quick-Service Food | $350K–$900K | $50,000 | 7.0% | 64 |
| Beauty & Health | $150K–$480K | $42,000 | 6.0% | 63 |
| Lawn & Garden | $40K–$130K | $28,000 | 8.0% | 62 |
| Massage & Wellness | $120K–$400K | $38,000 | 6.0% | 62 |
Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsPakenham - North East’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Pakenham - North East snapshot
| Metric | Pakenham - North East | State avg | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 15,622 | 18,304 | -15% |
| Median household income | $85,900 | $94,695 | -9% |
| 5-year population growth | 7.8% | 30.4% | -22.6 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Pakenham - North East, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Pakenham - North East | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 32 years | Younger market, skews to fitness, quick-service food and services |
| Average household size | 2.7 people | Family-heavy, favours food, education and household services |
| Median household income | $1,651/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $1,879/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $808/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $346/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $1,733/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 0.8 | More space per resident, established housing |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Pakenham - North East (212011549). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Pakenham - North East lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Pakenham - North East | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 29.7% | Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend |
| Owned with a mortgage | 48.9% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 17.9% | Fewer outright owners, younger area |
| Separate houses | 88.3% | Suburban, car-based, drive-to trade area |
| Flats & apartments | 0.6% | Low density, destination retail and services |
| Family households | 74.5% | Family-led demand, education, food and household services |
| Lone-person households | 22.6% | Fewer single-person homes |
| Unemployment rate | 5.3% | Around the national average |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Pakenham - North East, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Bakery & Dessert viability: High
The bakery & dessert opportunity in Pakenham - North East scores 65 out of 100. With a population of 15,622, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited bakery & dessert outlet. At about 1 existing bakery & dessert operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($85,900) sits below the state average ($94,695), which can favour value-led formats.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bakery & Dessert | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Massage & Wellness | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Mortgage & Finance | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Pakenham - North East compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakenham - North East | 15,622 | $85,900 | 7.8% | Bakery & Dessert | 65 |
| Yarraville | 15,651 | $129,100 | 0.0% | Bakery & Dessert | 69 |
| Doncaster East - South | 15,593 | $86,100 | 6.8% | Bakery & Dessert | 65 |
| Bairnsdale | 15,653 | $62,100 | 5.1% | Bakery & Dessert | 57 |
| Echuca | 15,591 | $70,000 | 4.7% | Bakery & Dessert | 58 |
| Rowville - Central | 15,540 | $108,300 | -2.0% | Bakery & Dessert | 63 |
| Kilmore - Broadford | 15,523 | $81,800 | 10.1% | Bakery & Dessert | 65 |
Keep exploring Pakenham - North East & Victoria
By category in Pakenham - North East
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Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Pakenham - North East?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Bakery & Dessert scores highest for Pakenham - North East at 65/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Retail and Quick-Service Food.
How much does a franchise cost in Pakenham - North East?
Fees don't vary by suburb, Bakery & Dessert franchises run $200,000–$550,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=54). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.
Is Pakenham - North East good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 61/100 in Pakenham - North East, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.
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