Franchise opportunities in Caringbah, NSW

Caringbah’s 12,890 residents give it a franchise opportunity score of 60/100. The strongest fit is Food & Beverage (60/100), followed by Bakery & Dessert and Quick-Service Food.

Geography: this report covers the Caringbah area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.

12,890Population (ABS 2021)
+5.5%5-year growth
$98,500Median household income
263Franchises recruiting in NSW
Opportunity score60/100
How this opportunity score works

The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:

  • Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
  • Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
  • Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
  • 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
  • Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%

Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.

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For sale & open territories in Caringbah

263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Caringbah:

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Caringbah on the map

Where Caringbah sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.

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Top 3 franchise categories by opportunity score

1. Food & Beverage

60
Strong Median $650,000–$1,475,000 · 8 recruiting
Food & Beverage franchises

2. Bakery & Dessert

58
Strong Median $350,000–$625,000 · 16 recruiting
Bakery & Dessert franchises

3. Quick-Service Food

56
Moderate Median $337,000–$675,000 · 35 recruiting
Quick-Service Food franchises

What it costs to start in Caringbah

Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Caringbah best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q3 2026 Fee Index, national medians).

CategoryTotal investmentInitial feeRoyaltyCaringbah fit
Food & Beverage$650,000–$1,475,000Not enough dataNot enough data60
Bakery & Dessert$350,000–$625,000$50,000Not enough data58
Quick-Service Food$337,000–$675,000$45,0006.0%56
Retail$200,000–$511,000Not enough dataNot enough data55
Beauty & Health$150,000–$494,000Not enough dataNot enough data53
Coffee & Café$300,000–$700,000$35,0006.0%53

Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index (“Not enough data” means fewer than five systems publish that figure). The fit score blends Caringbah’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.

Caringbah snapshot

Caringbah vs a typical comparable New South Wales area (median)
MetricCaringbahTypical NSW areaDifference
Population12,89014,643-12%
Median household income$98,500$99,300-1%
5-year population growth5.5%2.0%+3.5 pts

Community & demographics

Who lives in Caringbah, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.

Caringbah community profile (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureCaringbahWhat it signals for franchising
Median age37 yearsBroad working-age and family customer base
Average household size2.3 peopleSmaller households, favours convenience and single-serve formats
Median household income$1,894/wkOverall spending power of the local market
Median family income$2,531/wkDiscretionary spend of family households
Median personal income$1,020/wkIndividual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal
Median rent$470/wkCost of living and a proxy for commercial rents
Median mortgage$2,544/moHomeowner cost base in the area
People per bedroom0.9More space per resident, established housing

Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Caringbah (128011602). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).

Housing, tenure & households

How Caringbah lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.

Caringbah housing & workforce (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureCaringbahWhat it signals for franchising
Renting37.8%Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend
Owned with a mortgage34%Working homeowners, family services and home categories
Owned outright26.5%Fewer outright owners, younger area
Separate houses28.3%Mixed density, more walk-in potential
Flats & apartments44.3%Higher density, strong for cafés, gyms and quick-service food
Family households63.6%Broad household mix
Lone-person households33%Many singles, convenience, fitness and single-serve formats
Unemployment rate3.9%Tight labour market, strong incomes but harder hiring

Source: ABS Census 2021, Caringbah, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).

Survival & viability analysis

Food & Beverage viability: High

The food & beverage opportunity in Caringbah scores 60 out of 100. With a population of 12,890, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited food & beverage outlet. At about 1 existing food & beverage operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($98,500) sits below the typical comparable area in the state ($99,300), which can favour value-led formats. Population is growing at 5.5% over five years, ahead of the typical comparable area in the state (2.0%), so new demand is still arriving.

Nearby competition by category

Trade-area model, estimated operators and market status
CategoryEst. operatorsCompetitionStatus
Food & Beverage1LowGap
Bakery & Dessert1LowGap
Retail1LowGap
Beauty & Health1LowGap
Massage & Wellness1LowGap
Mortgage & Finance1LowGap

Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.

How Caringbah compares to nearby areas

LocationPopulationMedian income5-yr growthTop categoryScore
Caringbah12,890$98,5005.5%Food & Beverage60
Concord West - North Strathfield12,905$124,000-5.5%Food & Beverage58
Griffith Surrounds12,906$84,800-2.1%Food & Beverage49
Zetland12,861$114,00020.0%Food & Beverage69
Newcastle - Cooks Hill12,847$100,30012.3%Food & Beverage63
Randwick - South12,841$127,400-8.0%Food & Beverage57
Waratah - North Lambton12,941$85,2003.7%Food & Beverage55

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Frequently asked questions

What franchise is best for Caringbah?

Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Food & Beverage scores highest for Caringbah at 60/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Bakery & Dessert and Quick-Service Food.

How much does a franchise cost in Caringbah?

Fees don't vary by suburb. Across the Food & Beverage systems that publish their costs, the Q3 2026 Fee Index shows a median all-in cost of $650,000–$1,475,000 (17 systems) nationally. See the Fee Index for every category.

Is Caringbah good for a coffee franchise?

It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 53/100 in Caringbah, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).

Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index.