Franchise opportunities in Carlingford - East, NSW

Carlingford - East’s 11,661 residents give it a franchise opportunity score of 57/100. The strongest fit is Hair & Barber (57/100), followed by Food & Beverage and Bakery & Dessert.

Geography: this report covers the Carlingford - East area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.

11,661Population (ABS 2021)
+1.6%5-year growth
$111,400Median household income
263Franchises recruiting in NSW
Opportunity score57/100
How this opportunity score works

The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:

  • Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
  • Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
  • Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
  • 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
  • Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%

Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.

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For sale & open territories in Carlingford - East

263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Carlingford - East:

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Carlingford - East on the map

Where Carlingford - East sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.

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Top 3 franchise categories by opportunity score

1. Hair & Barber

57
Strong Median $243,000–$482,000 · 11 recruiting
Hair & Barber franchises

2. Food & Beverage

56
Strong Median $650,000–$1,475,000 · 8 recruiting
Food & Beverage franchises

3. Bakery & Dessert

51
Strong Median $350,000–$625,000 · 16 recruiting
Bakery & Dessert franchises

What it costs to start in Carlingford - East

Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Carlingford - East best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q3 2026 Fee Index, national medians).

CategoryTotal investmentInitial feeRoyaltyCarlingford - East fit
Hair & Barber$243,000–$482,000Not enough dataNot enough data57
Food & Beverage$650,000–$1,475,000Not enough dataNot enough data56
Bakery & Dessert$350,000–$625,000$50,000Not enough data51
Quick-Service Food$337,000–$675,000$45,0006.0%50
Retail$200,000–$511,000Not enough dataNot enough data49
Beauty & Health$150,000–$494,000Not enough dataNot enough data47

Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index (“Not enough data” means fewer than five systems publish that figure). The fit score blends Carlingford - East’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.

Carlingford - East snapshot

Carlingford - East vs a typical comparable New South Wales area (median)
MetricCarlingford - EastTypical NSW areaDifference
Population11,66114,643-20%
Median household income$111,400$99,300+12%
5-year population growth1.6%2.0%-0.4 pts

Community & demographics

Who lives in Carlingford - East, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.

Carlingford - East community profile (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureCarlingford - EastWhat it signals for franchising
Median age41 yearsBroad working-age and family customer base
Average household size3 peopleFamily-heavy, favours food, education and household services
Median household income$2,143/wkOverall spending power of the local market
Median family income$2,328/wkDiscretionary spend of family households
Median personal income$789/wkIndividual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal
Median rent$520/wkCost of living and a proxy for commercial rents
Median mortgage$2,600/moHomeowner cost base in the area
People per bedroom0.9More space per resident, established housing

Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Carlingford - East (125021711). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).

Housing, tenure & households

How Carlingford - East lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.

Carlingford - East housing & workforce (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureCarlingford - EastWhat it signals for franchising
Renting24.3%Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend
Owned with a mortgage35.1%Working homeowners, family services and home categories
Owned outright36%Older, established, lower-debt households
Separate houses66.9%Mixed density, more walk-in potential
Flats & apartments21.9%Low density, destination retail and services
Family households82.8%Family-led demand, education, food and household services
Lone-person households15.7%Fewer single-person homes
Unemployment rate4.7%Around the national average

Source: ABS Census 2021, Carlingford - East, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).

Survival & viability analysis

Hair & Barber viability: High

The hair & barber opportunity in Carlingford - East scores 57 out of 100. With a population of 11,661, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited hair & barber outlet. At about 1 existing hair & barber operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($111,400) runs above the typical comparable area in the state ($99,300), supporting discretionary spend.

Nearby competition by category

Trade-area model, estimated operators and market status
CategoryEst. operatorsCompetitionStatus
Hair & Barber1LowGap
Food & Beverage1LowGap
Bakery & Dessert1LowGap
Retail1LowGap
Beauty & Health1LowGap
Massage & Wellness1LowGap

Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.

How Carlingford - East compares to nearby areas

LocationPopulationMedian income5-yr growthTop categoryScore
Carlingford - East11,661$111,4001.6%Hair & Barber57
Rhodes11,650$113,500-7.2%Hair & Barber53
Riverwood11,645$62,8001.4%Hair & Barber44
Toongabbie - West11,632$107,20012.1%Hair & Barber63
Port Macquarie - East11,726$72,600-0.1%Hair & Barber45
Berowra - Brooklyn - Cowan11,795$129,800-1.8%Hair & Barber58
Ashfield - North11,522$98,200-15.7%Hair & Barber47

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Frequently asked questions

What franchise is best for Carlingford - East?

Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Hair & Barber scores highest for Carlingford - East at 57/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Food & Beverage and Bakery & Dessert.

How much does a franchise cost in Carlingford - East?

Fees don't vary by suburb. Across the Hair & Barber systems that publish their costs, the Q3 2026 Fee Index shows a median all-in cost of $243,000–$482,000 (13 systems) nationally. See the Fee Index for every category.

Is Carlingford - East good for a coffee franchise?

It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 47/100 in Carlingford - East, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Moderate suitability).

Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index.