Franchise opportunities in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, NSW
Geography: this report covers the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park:
Acai Brothers
Boost Juice
Auntie Anne's
Bakers Delight
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park on the map
Where Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park…
Top 3 recommended franchise categories
1. Food & Beverage
682. Bakery & Dessert
673. Quick-Service Food
65What it costs to start in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food & Beverage | $250K–$750K | $50,000 | 7.0% | 68 |
| Bakery & Dessert | $200K–$550K | $45,000 | 6.5% | 67 |
| Quick-Service Food | $350K–$900K | $50,000 | 7.0% | 65 |
| Retail | $180K–$600K | $45,000 | 5.5% | 65 |
| Beauty & Health | $150K–$480K | $42,000 | 6.0% | 63 |
| Coffee & Café | $118K–$450K | $45,000 | 6.5% | 62 |
Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsHoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park snapshot
| Metric | Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park | State avg | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 13,306 | 20,009 | -33% |
| Median household income | $116,900 | $100,267 | +17% |
| 5-year population growth | 10.8% | 13.0% | -2.2 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 33 years | Younger market, skews to fitness, quick-service food and services |
| Average household size | 3.6 people | Family-heavy, favours food, education and household services |
| Median household income | $2,248/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $2,259/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $762/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $500/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $2,342/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 0.9 | More space per resident, established housing |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (127011596). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 22% | Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend |
| Owned with a mortgage | 55.4% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 20.1% | Fewer outright owners, younger area |
| Separate houses | 94.1% | Suburban, car-based, drive-to trade area |
| Flats & apartments | 0.5% | Low density, destination retail and services |
| Family households | 90.6% | Family-led demand, education, food and household services |
| Lone-person households | 8.5% | Fewer single-person homes |
| Unemployment rate | 6.1% | Around the national average |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Food & Beverage viability: High
The food & beverage opportunity in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park scores 68 out of 100. With a population of 13,306, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited food & beverage outlet. At about 1 existing food & beverage operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($116,900) runs above the state average ($100,267), supporting discretionary spend.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food & Beverage | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Bakery & Dessert | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Massage & Wellness | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park | 13,306 | $116,900 | 10.8% | Food & Beverage | 68 |
| Camden - Ellis Lane | 13,341 | $106,800 | 0.5% | Bakery & Dessert | 58 |
| Katoomba - Leura | 13,377 | $64,400 | -1.4% | Food & Beverage | 45 |
| Greenacre - South | 13,448 | $76,300 | 4.4% | Food & Beverage | 54 |
| Forestville - Killarney Heights | 13,161 | $145,300 | -0.7% | Food & Beverage | 62 |
| Castle Cove - Northbridge | 13,470 | $207,300 | -2.4% | Bakery & Dessert | 62 |
| Matraville - Chifley | 13,474 | $110,900 | -0.9% | Food & Beverage | 59 |
Keep exploring Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park & New South Wales
By category in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
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Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Food & Beverage scores highest for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park at 68/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Bakery & Dessert and Quick-Service Food.
How much does a franchise cost in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park?
Fees don't vary by suburb, Food & Beverage franchises run $250,000–$750,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=210). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.
Is Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 62/100 in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.
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