Franchise opportunities in Castle Cove - Northbridge, NSW
Geography: this report covers the Castle Cove - Northbridge area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Castle Cove - Northbridge
263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Castle Cove - Northbridge:
Auntie Anne's
Bakers Delight
Acai Brothers
Boost Juice
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
Castle Cove - Northbridge on the map
Where Castle Cove - Northbridge sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Castle Cove - Northbridge…
Top 3 franchise categories by opportunity score
3. Quick-Service Food
59What it costs to start in Castle Cove - Northbridge
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Castle Cove - Northbridge best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q3 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Castle Cove - Northbridge fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakery & Dessert | $350,000–$625,000 | $50,000 | Not enough data | 62 |
| Food & Beverage | $650,000–$1,475,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 62 |
| Quick-Service Food | $337,000–$675,000 | $45,000 | 6.0% | 59 |
| Retail | $200,000–$511,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 59 |
| Beauty & Health | $150,000–$494,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 57 |
| Mortgage & Finance | $60,000–$124,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 57 |
Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index (“Not enough data” means fewer than five systems publish that figure). The fit score blends Castle Cove - Northbridge’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Castle Cove - Northbridge snapshot
| Metric | Castle Cove - Northbridge | Typical NSW area | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 13,470 | 14,643 | -8% |
| Median household income | $207,300 | $99,300 | +109% |
| 5-year population growth | -2.4% | 2.0% | -4.4 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Castle Cove - Northbridge, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Castle Cove - Northbridge | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 45 years | Broad working-age and family customer base |
| Average household size | 2.9 people | Family-heavy, favours food, education and household services |
| Median household income | $3,987/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $4,641/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $1,355/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $850/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $4,333/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 0.8 | More space per resident, established housing |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Castle Cove - Northbridge (121011683). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Castle Cove - Northbridge lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Castle Cove - Northbridge | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 15% | Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend |
| Owned with a mortgage | 33.7% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 48.2% | Older, established, lower-debt households |
| Separate houses | 84.4% | Suburban, car-based, drive-to trade area |
| Flats & apartments | 10.3% | Low density, destination retail and services |
| Family households | 83.1% | Family-led demand, education, food and household services |
| Lone-person households | 15.8% | Fewer single-person homes |
| Unemployment rate | 3.9% | Tight labour market, strong incomes but harder hiring |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Castle Cove - Northbridge, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Bakery & Dessert viability: High
The bakery & dessert opportunity in Castle Cove - Northbridge scores 62 out of 100. With a population of 13,470, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited bakery & dessert outlet. At about 1 existing bakery & dessert operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($207,300) runs above the typical comparable area in the state ($99,300), supporting discretionary spend.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food & Beverage | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Bakery & Dessert | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Mortgage & Finance | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Castle Cove - Northbridge compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castle Cove - Northbridge | 13,470 | $207,300 | -2.4% | Bakery & Dessert | 62 |
| Matraville - Chifley | 13,474 | $110,900 | -0.9% | Food & Beverage | 59 |
| Jordan Springs - Llandilo | 13,489 | $127,200 | 93.4% | Bakery & Dessert | 73 |
| Greenacre - South | 13,448 | $76,300 | 4.4% | Food & Beverage | 54 |
| Bowral | 13,549 | $85,800 | 2.5% | Bakery & Dessert | 55 |
| Haberfield - Summer Hill | 13,560 | $123,600 | -3.4% | Bakery & Dessert | 59 |
| Katoomba - Leura | 13,377 | $64,400 | -1.4% | Food & Beverage | 45 |
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Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Castle Cove - Northbridge?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Bakery & Dessert scores highest for Castle Cove - Northbridge at 62/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Food & Beverage and Quick-Service Food.
How much does a franchise cost in Castle Cove - Northbridge?
Fees don't vary by suburb. Across the Bakery & Dessert systems that publish their costs, the Q3 2026 Fee Index shows a median all-in cost of $350,000–$625,000 (41 systems) and a $50,000 median initial fee (5 systems) nationally. See the Fee Index for every category.
Is Castle Cove - Northbridge good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 56/100 in Castle Cove - Northbridge, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index.
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