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Franchise opportunities in Nelson Bay Peninsula, NSW

Nelson Bay Peninsula’s 21,921 residents give it a franchise opportunity score of 62/100. The strongest fit is Automotive (62/100), followed by Health & Medical and Real Estate.

Geography: this report covers the Nelson Bay Peninsula area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.

21,921Population (ABS 2021)
+1.4%5-year growth
$65,900Median household income
263Franchises recruiting nearby
Opportunity score62/100
How this opportunity score works

The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:

  • Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
  • Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
  • Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
  • 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
  • Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%

Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.

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For sale & open territories in Nelson Bay Peninsula

263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Nelson Bay Peninsula:

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Nelson Bay Peninsula on the map

Where Nelson Bay Peninsula sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.

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Top 3 recommended franchise categories

1. Automotive

62
Strong $120,000$500,000 · 11 recruiting
Why Automotive in Nelson Bay Peninsula?

2. Health & Medical

62
Strong $180,000$650,000 · 13 recruiting
Why Health & Medical in Nelson Bay Peninsula?

3. Real Estate

61
Strong $80,000$300,000 · 16 recruiting
Why Real Estate in Nelson Bay Peninsula?

What it costs to start in Nelson Bay Peninsula

Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Nelson Bay Peninsula best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q2 2026 Fee Index, national medians).

CategoryTotal investmentInitial feeRoyaltyNelson Bay Peninsula fit
Automotive$120K$500K$45,0007.5%62
Health & Medical$180K$650K$48,0006.0%62
Real Estate$80K$300K$35,0008.0%61
Quick-Service Food$350K$900K$50,0007.0%60
Food & Beverage$250K$750K$50,0007.0%58
Coffee & Café$118K$450K$45,0006.5%57

Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index. The fit score blendsNelson Bay Peninsula’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.

Nelson Bay Peninsula snapshot

Nelson Bay Peninsula vs New South Wales average
MetricNelson Bay PeninsulaState avgDifference
Population21,92120,009+10%
Median household income$65,900$100,267-34%
5-year population growth1.4%13.0%-11.6 pts

Community & demographics

Who lives in Nelson Bay Peninsula, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.

Nelson Bay Peninsula community profile (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureNelson Bay PeninsulaWhat it signals for franchising
Median age55 yearsOlder market, skews to health, home and aged-support services
Average household size2.2 peopleSmaller households, favours convenience and single-serve formats
Median household income$1,267/wkOverall spending power of the local market
Median family income$1,600/wkDiscretionary spend of family households
Median personal income$648/wkIndividual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal
Median rent$390/wkCost of living and a proxy for commercial rents
Median mortgage$1,861/moHomeowner cost base in the area
People per bedroom0.7More space per resident, established housing

Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Nelson Bay Peninsula (106031121). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).

Housing, tenure & households

How Nelson Bay Peninsula lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.

Nelson Bay Peninsula housing & workforce (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureNelson Bay PeninsulaWhat it signals for franchising
Renting25.3%Owner-heavy, settled households with steadier local spend
Owned with a mortgage23.2%Working homeowners, family services and home categories
Owned outright46.6%Older, established, lower-debt households
Separate houses61.9%Mixed density, more walk-in potential
Flats & apartments10.1%Low density, destination retail and services
Family households67.7%Broad household mix
Lone-person households29.9%Many singles, convenience, fitness and single-serve formats
Unemployment rate4.7%Around the national average

Source: ABS Census 2021, Nelson Bay Peninsula, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).

Survival & viability analysis

Automotive viability: High

The automotive opportunity in Nelson Bay Peninsula scores 62 out of 100. With a population of 21,921, there is a solid customer base, enough to sustain about 1 automotive outlet. At about 1 existing automotive operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($65,900) sits below the state average ($100,267), which can favour value-led formats.

Nearby competition by category

Trade-area model, estimated operators and market status
CategoryEst. operatorsCompetitionStatus
Automotive1LowGap
Health & Medical1LowGap
Real Estate1LowGap
Food & Beverage2LowGap
Education & Tutoring1LowGap
Coffee & Café3LowGap

Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.

How Nelson Bay Peninsula compares to nearby areas

LocationPopulationMedian income5-yr growthTop categoryScore
Nelson Bay Peninsula21,921$65,9001.4%Automotive62
Lethbridge Park - Tregear21,873$73,4002.8%Health & Medical66
Mascot21,843$117,20041.5%Health & Medical85
Freshwater - Brookvale22,014$141,600-0.7%Automotive76
Pennant Hills - Cheltenham21,819$144,8003.0%Health & Medical80
Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista21,801$148,0004.5%Health & Medical82
St Ives21,780$154,2002.8%Health & Medical81

Keep exploring Nelson Bay Peninsula & New South Wales

Frequently asked questions

What franchise is best for Nelson Bay Peninsula?

Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Automotive scores highest for Nelson Bay Peninsula at 62/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Health & Medical and Real Estate.

How much does a franchise cost in Nelson Bay Peninsula?

Fees don't vary by suburb, Automotive franchises run $120,000–$500,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=62). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.

Is Nelson Bay Peninsula good for a coffee franchise?

It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 57/100 in Nelson Bay Peninsula, with about 3 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).

Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.