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Franchise opportunities in Keilor Downs, VIC

Keilor Downs’s 13,193 residents give it a franchise opportunity score of 48/100. The strongest fit is Food & Beverage (48/100), followed by Bakery & Dessert and Retail.
13,193Population (ABS 2021)
+-5.4%5-year growth
$80,800Median household income
258Franchises recruiting nearby
Opportunity score48/100

Top 3 recommended franchise categories

1. Food & Beverage

48
Strong $250,000$750,000 · 10 recruiting
Why Food & Beverage in Keilor Downs? →

2. Bakery & Dessert

46
Strong $200,000$550,000 · 16 recruiting
Why Bakery & Dessert in Keilor Downs? →

3. Retail

44
Strong $180,000$600,000 · 17 recruiting
Why Retail in Keilor Downs? →

Keilor Downs snapshot

Keilor Downs vs Victoria average
MetricKeilor DownsState avgDifference
Population13,19318,304-28%
Median household income$80,800$94,695-15%
5-year population growth-5.4%30.4%-35.8 pts

Community & demographics

Who lives in Keilor Downs, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.

Keilor Downs community profile (ABS Census 2021)
MeasureKeilor DownsWhat it signals for franchising
Median age42 yearsBroad working-age and family customer base
Average household size2.8 peopleFamily-heavy, favours food, education and household services
Median household income$1,553/wkOverall spending power of the local market
Median family income$1,762/wkDiscretionary spend of family households
Median personal income$604/wkIndividual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal
Median rent$360/wkCost of living and a proxy for commercial rents
Median mortgage$1,733/moHomeowner cost base in the area

Source: ABS Census 2021 G02 + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Keilor Downs (213011332). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).

Survival & viability analysis

Food & Beverage viability: High

The food & beverage opportunity in Keilor Downs scores 48 out of 100. With a population of 13,193, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited food & beverage outlet. At about 1 existing food & beverage operator, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($80,800) sits below the state average ($94,695), which can favour value-led formats.

Nearby competition by category

Trade-area model, estimated operators and market status
CategoryEst. operatorsCompetitionStatus
Food & Beverage1LowGap
Bakery & Dessert1LowGap
Retail1LowGap
Beauty & Health1LowGap
B2B Services1LowGap
Lawn & Garden1LowGap

Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.

Available franchise opportunities in Keilor Downs

How Keilor Downs compares to nearby areas

LocationPopulationScoreTop category
Keilor Downs13,19348Food & Beverage
Newcastle322,27877Bakery & Dessert
Parramatta256,72980Pet Services
Geelong268,27775Pet Services
Gold Coast699,22684Quick-Service Food

Frequently asked questions

What franchise is best for Keilor Downs?

Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Food & Beverage scores highest for Keilor Downs at 48/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Bakery & Dessert and Retail.

How much does a franchise cost in Keilor Downs?

Fees don't vary by suburb, Food & Beverage franchises run $250,000–$750,000 all-in nationally (Q2 2026 Fee Index, n=210). See the Fee Index for the full breakdown.

Is Keilor Downs good for a coffee franchise?

It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 41/100 in Keilor Downs, with about 2 existing operators in the trade area (Strong suitability).

Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q2 2026 Fee Index.