Franchise opportunities in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli, NSW
Geography: this report covers the Neutral Bay - Kirribilli area (ABS SA2). Demographics from the ABS Census 2021.
How this opportunity score works
The score is a weighted 0–100 research signal, not a site-selection decision. It combines, per category:
- Demand (category fit for the population) — 30%
- Competition gap (trade-area model, more room scores higher) — 25%
- Demographic fit (income vs the category) — 20%
- 5-year population growth (percentile) — 15%
- Franchise availability (systems recruiting here) — 10%
Inputs: ABS Census 2021 (population, income, growth) and a trade-area competition model using OpenStreetMap / ABS business data where available. It doesn’t model rent, site specifics or local trading conditions, treat it as a starting point for research, then confirm on the ground and with the franchisor. See our methodology.
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For sale & open territories in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli
263 franchise systems are recruiting new territories that cover Neutral Bay - Kirribilli:
Bucking Bull
Burger Urge
7-Eleven Australia
Amber Tiles
Arch Threading
Brazilian Beauty
Neutral Bay - Kirribilli on the map
Where Neutral Bay - Kirribilli sits and the real local businesses around its centre, the operators a new franchise would compete with. Tap a pin for the business name and type.
Loading nearby operators in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli…
Top 3 franchise categories by opportunity score
What it costs to start in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli
Franchise fees don’t change by suburb, but the categories that fit Neutral Bay - Kirribilli best sit in these all-in investment ranges (Q3 2026 Fee Index, national medians).
| Category | Total investment | Initial fee | Royalty | Neutral Bay - Kirribilli fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quick-Service Food | $337,000–$675,000 | $45,000 | 6.0% | 69 |
| Retail | $200,000–$511,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 68 |
| Beauty & Health | $150,000–$494,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 66 |
| Home & Trade Services | $51,000–$128,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 66 |
| Lawn & Garden | $18,000–$49,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 65 |
| Massage & Wellness | $467,000–$850,000 | Not enough data | Not enough data | 65 |
Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index (“Not enough data” means fewer than five systems publish that figure). The fit score blends Neutral Bay - Kirribilli’s demand, competition, demographics and growth, see methodology.
Neutral Bay - Kirribilli snapshot
| Metric | Neutral Bay - Kirribilli | Typical NSW area | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 17,340 | 14,643 | +18% |
| Median household income | $122,900 | $99,300 | +24% |
| 5-year population growth | -9.5% | 2.0% | -11.5 pts |
Community & demographics
Who lives in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli, and what it means for a franchise. Every figure below is a real ABS Census 2021 median for this area, not an estimate.
| Measure | Neutral Bay - Kirribilli | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 40 years | Broad working-age and family customer base |
| Average household size | 1.9 people | Smaller households, favours convenience and single-serve formats |
| Median household income | $2,364/wk | Overall spending power of the local market |
| Median family income | $3,684/wk | Discretionary spend of family households |
| Median personal income | $1,551/wk | Individual earnings, a labour-cost and spend signal |
| Median rent | $541/wk | Cost of living and a proxy for commercial rents |
| Median mortgage | $2,990/mo | Homeowner cost base in the area |
| People per bedroom | 1 | Denser housing, larger or shared households |
Source: ABS Census 2021 (G02/G35/G36/G37/G46) + ERP 2016→2021 · SA2 Neutral Bay - Kirribilli (121041416). Incomes are median weekly (household income is also shown annualised in the headline stats).
Housing, tenure & households
How Neutral Bay - Kirribilli lives, works and is housed, and what each signal means for siting a franchise here. All figures are real ABS Census 2021 counts for this area.
| Measure | Neutral Bay - Kirribilli | What it signals for franchising |
|---|---|---|
| Renting | 54.8% | High rental share, a mobile, convenience-led customer base |
| Owned with a mortgage | 18% | Working homeowners, family services and home categories |
| Owned outright | 24.5% | Fewer outright owners, younger area |
| Separate houses | 8.7% | Mixed density, more walk-in potential |
| Flats & apartments | 81.2% | Higher density, strong for cafés, gyms and quick-service food |
| Family households | 50.8% | Broad household mix |
| Lone-person households | 43.7% | Many singles, convenience, fitness and single-serve formats |
| Unemployment rate | 3.9% | Tight labour market, strong incomes but harder hiring |
Source: ABS Census 2021, Neutral Bay - Kirribilli, tenure (G37), dwelling structure (G36), household composition (G35) and labour force (G46).
Survival & viability analysis
Quick-Service Food viability: High
The quick-service food opportunity in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli scores 69 out of 100. With a population of 17,340, the catchment is smaller, so demand may support only one well-sited quick-service food outlet. At about 2 existing quick-service food operators, competition sits below typical metro density, an opening for a well-run entrant. Median household income ($122,900) runs above the typical comparable area in the state ($99,300), supporting discretionary spend.
Nearby competition by category
| Category | Est. operators | Competition | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Beauty & Health | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Lawn & Garden | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Massage & Wellness | 1 | Low | Gap |
| Mortgage & Finance | 1 | Low | Gap |
| B2B Services | 1 | Low | Gap |
Operator counts are a trade-area model derived from ABS population, not a live business census. Richer POI data (OpenStreetMap / Google Places) is ingested per methodology.
How Neutral Bay - Kirribilli compares to nearby areas
| Location | Population | Median income | 5-yr growth | Top category | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral Bay - Kirribilli | 17,340 | $122,900 | -9.5% | Quick-Service Food | 69 |
| Lambton - New Lambton | 17,352 | $96,900 | 1.8% | Quick-Service Food | 68 |
| Engadine | 17,383 | $119,500 | -0.2% | Quick-Service Food | 72 |
| Jamisontown - South Penrith | 17,411 | $91,300 | -1.8% | Quick-Service Food | 64 |
| Pymble | 17,269 | $177,500 | 1.5% | Quick-Service Food | 77 |
| West Hoxton - Middleton Grange | 17,250 | $125,400 | 9.1% | Quick-Service Food | 80 |
| Blacktown - West | 17,245 | $96,600 | 3.6% | Quick-Service Food | 70 |
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Frequently asked questions
What franchise is best for Neutral Bay - Kirribilli?
Based on population, income, growth and competition data, Quick-Service Food scores highest for Neutral Bay - Kirribilli at 69/100, competition sits below typical metro density. The next best are Retail and Beauty & Health.
How much does a franchise cost in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli?
Fees don't vary by suburb. Across the Quick-Service Food systems that publish their costs, the Q3 2026 Fee Index shows a median all-in cost of $337,000–$675,000 (173 systems), a $45,000 median initial fee (9 systems), a 6.0% median royalty (9 systems) and a 4.3% median marketing levy (9 systems) nationally. See the Fee Index for every category.
Is Neutral Bay - Kirribilli good for a coffee franchise?
It's promising: a coffee & café franchise scores 55/100 in Neutral Bay - Kirribilli, with about 3 existing operators in the trade area (Moderate suitability).
Demographics: ABS Census 2021 & Regional Population. Category scores combine ABS demographics with a trade-area competition model and live franchise availability, see methodology. Fees: Q3 2026 Fee Index.
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